'The economy would be in better shape had Brexit not happened': Ex-Bank of England economist Michael Saunders

16 November 2022, 17:52 | Updated: 17 November 2022, 09:03

Bank of England says Brexit is to blame for 'persistent' and 'lasting' damage to the UK economy.

Madeleine Wilson

By Madeleine Wilson

Former Monetary Policy Committee at Bank of England Michael Saunders said Brexit is to blame for "persistent" and "lasting" damage to the UK economy.

This comes after the UK is set to be in stagnation and sticky inflation for the coming years, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) think tank has warned.

The NIESR's latest figures suggest Inflation is on course to hit around 5% next year, while Britain's economy looks set to grow by only 1.7% in 2023 and 1.3% in 2024 after rebounding by 6.9% in 2021 and 4.7% in 2022 after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Today Michael Saunders told Tom Swarbrick that Brexit is to blame for "persistent" and "lasting" damage to the UK economy.

On Thursday this week, Chancellor Jeremy Hunt is set to deliver his Autumn Statement which will unveil his strategy to tackling the UK's budget deficit.

Read more: James O’Brien volunteers himself to investigate Dominic Raab

‘We went on a relatively hard fall with Brexit with a relatively thin trade deal with Europe.’

Michael said: "Part of the reason that tomorrow the Chancellor must raise taxes and cut public spending is because of the damage to the UK public finances that have been caused by the loss of output due to Brexit."

Post-pandemic problems like the cost of living crisis, rising energy bills and inflation have further added to growing regret for Brexit – although these have been seen across Europe, too.

Michael told Tom that UK's economy would be in "better shape" had Brexit not happened.

Tom asked Michael what he would "prescribe" a PM and chancellor to do in order to solve the UK's financial crisis.

Michael replied: "The easiest and the best thing would be to have a trade deal with Europe which reduces trade barriers compared to what we have now."

The Governor of BoE Andrew Bailey and other senior BoE figures also commented on the impact of Brexit today.

Mr Bailey said he has to be "neutral on Brexit" but will not be "neutral on the effect" of it, declaring a "long-run downshift in productivity".

Later he added: "We went on a relatively hard fall with Brexit with a thin trade deal with Europe."

Concluding: "The government chose to put itself too far away it was a choice.

"There were other trade deals that would have given us closer ties with Europe.

"The government chose not to pursue them."

READ MORE: Inflation rises to 41-year high of 11.1% piling misery on millions of struggling families

What can we expect from Thursday’s autumn budget

More Tom Swarbrick

See more More Tom Swarbrick

Exclusive
Robert Jenrick Launches His Bid To Be The Next Conservative Party Leader

Social housing should be focused on ‘people who have been here for a long time’, Robert Jenrick tells LBC

Tom Swarbrick speak to Jonathan Dekel-Chen

Israeli hostage's father tells LBC Benjamin Netanyahu must 'negotiate with Satan' to bring hostages home

Exclusive
One child strip searched every 14 hours report reveals, as minister admits police searches 'taking place in chicken shops'

One child strip searched every 14 hours as commissioner says police searches 'taking place in chicken shops'

Nigel Farage waded into the row between Keir Starmer and Elon musk

'I pray he's wrong': Nigel Farage tells LBC following Elon Musk's claim 'civil war is inevitable' in Britain

Exclusive
Nigel Farage has refused to apologise after making the comments after the stabbing attack in Southport

Nigel Farage refuses to apologise over claims made about Southport attacker being known to police

Exclusive
Policing minister Dame Diana Johnson has told LBC that courts could sit through the night to bring “speedy justice” to those taking part in violent demonstration

Courts could sit through night to bring 'speedy justice' to violent protesters, policing minister tells LBC

Exclusive
A sister has described the moment she punched a crocodile to save her sister.

'I wasn't going to leave her behind': Twin recalls punching crocodile to save sister

Exclusive
Susan Hall has dismissed Ed Miliband's claim that she would be an 'embarrassment' to Britain as the next London mayor.

Susan Hall dismisses as 'nonsense’ after Ed Miliband said she would be an ‘embarrassment’ as London Mayor

Exclusive
UK should prepare for 'something close to war', Nato's deputy tells LBC, amid warning members have 'neglected defence'

UK should prepare for 'something close to war', Nato's Deputy General tells LBC, as he warns Russia 'cannot be trusted'

Emma Webber (left) speaking to LBC

Mother of Nottingham attack victim Barnaby Webber blasts police ‘mistruths’ after force is put in special measures

Lord Harrington said there should be a cap on the number of asylum seekers the UK takes.

Former refugees minister Lord Harrington calls for a cap on the number of asylum seekers the UK takes

Mel Stride has backed the PM

Rishi Sunak has 'absolutely not' betrayed nation over Rwanda plan, insists minister after Braverman's attack on PM

Tom and caller

'Our family is there': Mother shares heartbreaking experience of being a British Jew during Israel-Hamas conflict

The ban will be brought into effect in months

'Children should be in the classroom to learn': Gillian Keegan orders 'blanket ban' of mobile phones in schools

Exclusive
Tributes have been paid to Elianne after she was stabbed to death in Croydon

Fellow pupil of schoolgirl stabbed to death in Croydon describes heartbreaking moment students were told of her killing

Scotland's first safe drug consumption space set to be openned

'Isn't this just decriminalising heroin?': Tom Swarbrick questions Labour MSP over first safe drug consumption room