PM and Chancellor to hold emergency talks with OBR

30 September 2022, 07:07

The prime minister and chancellor will meet the head of Britain's independent financial forecaster
The prime minister and chancellor will meet the head of Britain's independent financial forecaster. Picture: Alamy

By Asher McShane

The prime minister and chancellor will meet the head of Britain's independent financial forecaster after days of market turmoil sparked by their mini-budget.

Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng will talk to the head of the Office of Budget Responsibility, after defending their mini-budget plans.

There was no report from the OBR when the economic plans were set out, adding to market jitters over the plans, which led to a slump in the value of the pound, mortgage deals being pulled off the market, and a £65bn intervention from the Bank of England to avert a pensions crisis.

It comes as an influential cross-party group of MPs said the Chancellor should bring forward his next "fiscal event" and economic forecast after the market fallout from his mini-budget.

Read more: Trouble for Truss as Labour surge to historic 33-point lead over Tories amid mini-budget turmoil

Read more: Truss fails to guarantee Brits' pensions are safe after Bank of England steps in to stop risk of funds collapsing

YouGov's Dr Patrick English comments on Labour's 33-point lead in poll

The Treasury Select Committee, chaired by an influential Tory MP, said Mr Kwarteng should reveal his medium-term fiscal plan at the end of October, instead of November 23 as currently planned.

The Office for Budget Responsibility was not asked to produce its usual forecasts at the mini-budget last Friday, but it will for the November event.

Experts said the market collapse in recent days was partially caused by the lack of a forecast from the OBR. The committee had called for a forecast.

In a letter to the committee, the OBR said it would present its initial forecast to the Chancellor on October 7, and it could have the full forecast ready weeks later.

The MPs said: "The committee argues the fiscal event and OBR forecast planned for November 23 should be brought forward given 'continued uncertainty within markets', that it would benefit a key meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee on November 3, and because a meaningful OBR forecast can be provided earlier."

Committee chairman Mel Stride said it is "critical" that the economic analysis is brought forward.

"Urgent need now to increase confidence of markets that HM Treasury Kwasi Kwarteng fiscal plans stack up," the Conservative MP tweeted.

"It is critical that OBR forecast and Chancellor's statement are brought forward to end October or earlier.

"Critical point also is that the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (which sets interest rates) meets on November 3 to decide on next moves in base rate which will impact millions.

"Not acceptable that they should be expected to take this huge decision without an OBR forecast when we know this can be provided before they meet."

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