Chancellor predicts 'interest rate cuts this summer' but refuses to say when - as UK economy comes out of recession

10 May 2024, 08:36 | Updated: 10 May 2024, 08:50

Watch Again: Nick Ferrari is joined by Chancellor Jeremy Hunt | 10/05/24

By Emma Soteriou

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt has predicted that interest rate cuts could happen this summer but has refused to say when.

Listen to this article

Loading audio...

Speaking to LBC's Nick Ferrari at Breakfast, Mr Hunt said he believed a drop in interest rates could be just months away.

It came after he warned the Bank of England that cutting rates too quickly could cause inflation to spike again.

"I wouldn’t like to predict an exact time but the Bank of England governor says he is optimistic that we are on the right track," the Chancellor said.

"It will be a massive relief for families with mortgages if we can bring them down so I hope that turns out to be the case."

It was confirmed on Friday morning that the UK had come out of a recession after the economy grew in the first quarter of 2024.

GDP is estimated to have risen by 0.6% between January and March, the Office for National Statistics said.

It represented the strongest quarterly growth since the last quarter of 2021.

Read more: UK escapes recession as economy grows 0.6% in first quarter of 2024

GDP is estimated to have risen by 0.6% between January and March.
GDP is estimated to have risen by 0.6% between January and March. Picture: ONS

The performance was particularly driven by improvements in the services and production sectors, which grew by 0.7% and 0.8% respectively.

It came after two quarters of decline - which represented a technical recession - in the back half of 2023.

There was notable growth for the human health and social services sector, administrative and support services, as well as for wholesale and retail firms.

However, construction output fell 0.4% during the month. It represented a significant reduction in decline after a 2% fall in February.

Read more: Chancellor warns Bank of England against cutting interest rates too quickly warning inflation could spike again

Read more: Tories criticised for ‘appalling mismanagement of economy’ as mortgage rates set to rise after interest rates held

Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, speaking during the Monetary Policy Report press conference
Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, speaking during the Monetary Policy Report press conference. Picture: Alamy

Responding to the figures, Mr Hunt said: "There is no doubt it has been a difficult few years, but today's growth figures are proof that the economy is returning to full health for the first time since the pandemic.

"We're growing this year and have the best outlook among European G7 countries over the next six years, with wages growing faster than inflation, energy prices falling and tax cuts worth £900 to the average worker hitting bank accounts."

ONS director of economic statistics Liz McKeown said: "After two quarters of contraction, the UK economy returned to positive growth in the first three months of this year.

"There was broad-based strength across the service industries with retail, public transport and haulage, and health all performing well.

"Car manufacturers also had a good quarter. These were only a little offset by another weak quarter for construction."

Labour's shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves said: "This is no time for Conservative ministers to be doing a victory lap and telling the British people that they have never had it so good.

"The economy is still £300 smaller per person than when Rishi Sunak became Prime Minister."

More Latest News

See more More Latest News

A 'heat dome' is forecast to hit over the half-term.

UK to enjoy 800-mile ‘heat dome’ with temperatures of up to 25C in parts of country over half term

King Charles and Queen Camilla in attendance of the RHS Chelsea Flower Show

King Charles and Queen Camilla greet crowds at Chelsea Flower Show as they visit garden designed by children

Haiti Airport

Haiti’s main airport reopens nearly three months after violence forced it closed

Israel Palestinians

International Criminal Court seeks arrest warrants for Israeli and Hamas leaders

Hardline 'Butcher of Tehran' Ebrahim Raisi's death opens door for escalating Iran-West confrontation

Hardline 'Butcher of Tehran' Ebrahim Raisi's death opens door for escalating Iran-West confrontation

Why everyone in their twenties seems to be running - and why I’m one of them

Why everyone in their twenties seems to be running - and why I’m one of them

Rishi Sunak has apologised for the infected blood scandal.

'This is a day of shame': Rishi Sunak apologises ‘wholeheartedly’ for infected blood scandal after 'chilling' report

Kate Roughley, 37, strapped the Genevieve Meehan face down on to a bean bag

Parents will 'never forgive' nursery worker who killed daughter by strapping her face down and ignoring cries

Children were used as "objects for research" the final report of the Infected Blood Inquiry has found.

The school where dozens died: Only 30 of 122 boys at Treloar College are alive after experiments with infected blood

Pictures of the Week-North America-Photo Gallery

Cohen says he stole from Trump’s company as key hush money trial witness quizzed

Japan Mount Fuji

Japan imposes new rules to climb Mount Fuji to combat tourism and littering

Dame Judi Dench has placed the first seedling from the Sycamore Gap in the National Trust's Chelsea Flower Show garden

Dame Judi Dench places first Sycamore Gap seedling in Chelsea Flower Show garden

Grant Wagster pushed his wife down the stairs after expressing frustration over his internet connection

Tree surgeon avoids jail after pushing wife down stairs and breaking her hip in rage over WiFi connection

Passengers queuing to get on Eurostar trains at St Pancras

Exact date for new EU Eurostar checks set and how much earlier you need to arrive revealed

Benjamin Netanyahu

International Criminal Court seeks arrest warrant for Netanyahu and Hamas chiefs

Lloyd Austin

Pentagon vows to keep weapons moving to Ukraine as Kyiv faces renewed assault